Oil prices are rising at the start of the week following a new exchange of strikes between the U.S. and Iran, while Asian stock markets are falling. At the same time, investors are assessing the risk of supply disruptions through the Strait of Hormuz and the prospect of a rate hike by the U.S. Federal Reserve.

Four and a half years after Russia’s unprovoked, full-scale invasion of Ukraine, there is no end in sight to the conflict. What initially appeared to be a “special operation” that was supposed to end in a matter of days (or, at most, weeks) has turned into a seemingly endless and grueling war.

Futures for wheat, corn, and soybeans on the Chicago Board of Trade (CBOT) rose sharply. In just one day yesterday, contracts for September wheat delivery rose by 6.57% to $275.53 per metric ton. Wheat prices also rose on the Kansas City and Minneapolis exchanges—to $291.01 per metric ton and $265.10 per metric ton, respectively.

According to unofficial estimates by farmers in the Kherson, Mykolaiv, and Sumy regions, 50–70% of the demining work carried out on behalf of farmers was done outside the legal framework.

Following yet another attack by Russian drones, operations at the “Vinogradivka–Vulcanesti” international border crossing on the Ukrainian-Moldovan border have been temporarily suspended. The strike damaged the crossing’s infrastructure.

British Prime Minister Andy Burnham will visit Ukraine on Monday on his first overseas trip since taking office.

Ukraine is ready to negotiate with Russia on a mutual cessation of attacks on grain logistics and energy infrastructure. At the same time, Kyiv insists that these “negotiation tracks” must be considered separately. In other words, a cessation of Ukrainian strikes on Russian energy facilities cannot be a condition for ending Russian attacks on Ukrainian ports and grain exports. For its part, Moscow is effectively offering to refrain from attacking Ukraine’s grain logistics in exchange for a cessation of attacks on its Russian energy sector. However, Ukraine does not consider this arrangement to be on equal terms.

The ammunition depot in Cobasna poses a real risk, but a potential explosion would not have the force of the atomic bomb dropped on Hiroshima and would not cause a catastrophe on a regional scale. This is the conclusion reached by the Intelligence and Security Service (SIS) and the Military Intelligence Agency, as presented in a public technical report.

Powerus has signed a contract to supply anti-drone systems to an energy company located in the Persian Gulf. The deal was worth $22.3 million.

An attack by “Shahed”-type drones took place on the night of August 21 near the border between the Republic of Moldova and Ukraine, in the area of the Mirnoe–Tabaki border crossing. This was reported by the Border Police of the Republic of Moldova.

In the Odesa region, curfew restrictions have been lifted for transit vehicles traveling to international border crossings with Moldova and Romania. The decision applies to all modes of transportation and traffic in both directions.

A prolonged period of high gasoline and diesel prices is just beginning, according to an analysis by Reuters columnist Ron Busso. Regardless of the outcome of the Iran talks, the energy sector will be in turmoil, and the global inflation crisis will affect all sectors of the world economy.

At least five grain-carrying ships were attacked by Ukrainian drones near the Russian Black Sea ports of Novorossiysk and Tuapse.

U.S. President Donald Trump has instructed officials in the U.S. administration to halt negotiations with Iran.

Covert oil shuttle shipments through the Strait of Hormuz—with sensors disabled and transshipment in the Gulf of Oman—are helping to mitigate the global energy crisis. Thanks to these covert shipments totaling more than 4 million barrels per day, Brent prices are staying within the $80–$90 per barrel range instead of skyrocketing to critical levels.

Bitcoin rose slightly on Monday, remaining within a narrow trading range: escalating tensions surrounding Iran and uncertainty regarding new regulatory measures in the U.S. are keeping traders from investing in the cryptocurrency.

In announcing the decision to scale back U.S.-South Korea joint military exercises, Donald Trump pointed out that Seoul had not supported Washington in the war against Iran.

If the conflict and its economic consequences drag on, the World Bank will be able to expand its support to $80–100 billion over a 15-month period. The announcement of support for all developing countries in overcoming crises came amid the bank’s forecasts regarding the consequences of the war in the Middle East.

Donald Trump stated that Washington will demand compensation from Iran for American service members who were killed or wounded, as well as for Iranian protesters who have died over the past few decades. The U.S. president made this announcement on August 10 on his social media platform, Truth Social.

The Ministry of Foreign Affairs is recalling Lilian Darie, the Ambassador of the Republic of Moldova to Moscow, for consultations in light of the incident that occurred in Crocmaz, Ștefan Vodă District, where a drone crashed and exploded.
