News about Macroeconomics
Recently, the media has been flooded with stories about the real estate market – cautious, with “correction, not a disaster” conclusions.
In March, average consumer prices in Moldova increased by 5.8% year-on-year, up 2.7% YTD, confirming the acceleration trend. As of February 2026, annual inflation rose to 5.1% after January’s low of 4.8%.
According to an April report by the World Bank (WB), Moldova’s GDP growth forecast for 2026 was revised downward from 2.7% to 1.9%. Nevertheless, the economy is expected to recover with growth of 3.8% in 2027. These data reflect the adjustment of the country’s economic outlook within the framework of the updated forecast.
On Tuesday evening North American time, the U.S. deadline for Iran expires. In response, Iran has prepared its ten-point plan.
The eurozone private sector in March showed the weakest expansion in nine months. This follows from the business activity index (PMI) data published by S&P Global.
The European Commission (EC) has urged EU countries to limit large-scale measures to support economies, including energy subsidies and tax cuts, because of the risk of high inflation and budget deficits.
The upgrading of the country’s rating to B2 with a stable outlook is not a political opinion, but an independent technical assessment of the way the state manages its economy and finances. This is how Prime Minister Alexandru Munteanu commented on the decision of the international rating agency Moody’s Ratings.
The indices of financial stress and vulnerability of the banking sector at the end of last year were below the established threshold, reflecting normal conditions of the financial system functioning. There is no accumulation of systemic risk, although not everything is so unambiguous.
International rating agency Moody’s Ratings has upgraded Moldova’s long-term credit rating in foreign and local currency from B3 to B2. At the same time, the agency points to the persistence of “systemic” risks associated with geopolitical tensions, vulnerability of the economy and possible internal political fluctuations.
In the April 2026 report “Institutions for Industrial Policy,” International Monetary Fund (IMF) experts discuss the shift away from pure free market principles in economic management. Industrial strategies require active government intervention and coordination, reminiscent of Soviet Gosplan methods to support key sectors of the economy in the new environment, according to the Fund’s working papers.
Thursday was the last working day on major trading floors before the Catholic Good Friday, declared a holiday in the countries of the Western branch of Christianity. Before the long weekend, wheat and corn prices fell by an average of $0.16-0.21/bushel, $3-5/t.
Italian Prime Minister Giorgia Meloni went on an unannounced visit to the Persian Gulf countries. She became the first Western leader to visit the Gulf states since the start of the Iran war.
The week passed for the world currencies in the waiting mode. Traders are following the news about the war in Iran and waiting for data on liquidity flows. The dollar remained stable after rising by 0.4% in the previous session, helped by a calmer reaction to US President Donald Trump’s recent comments on Iran.
A group of Moldovan MPs paid a visit to Georgia at the invitation of the Georgian side. The delegation consisted of Igor Dodon, Bogdan Tsirdia, Petru Burduja (PSRM), Vasile Costiuc, chairman of the parliamentary faction “Democrația Acasă” and Olga Ursu, deputy chairman of the parliamentary faction “Alternativa”.
Gennaro Gattuso announced his resignation as head coach of Italy’s national soccer team, a day before he was resigned by Gabriele Gravina, president of the soccer federation, Logos Press reported.
Authorities in Singapore have announced plans to build new gold vaults to house bullion from other central banks, according to Logos Press.
At an extraordinary meeting on Friday, the Romanian government approved a draft emergency decree aimed at reducing the excise tax on diesel fuel by 30 bani (about 1 Moldovan leu), which will directly reduce the price at gas stations.
Over the last 25 years, the Moldovan education system has lost almost half of its pupils – their number dropped from 631,300 to 335,100, according to a study by the Institute of Public Policies (IPP). The sharpest decline was recorded in rural areas, where the number of schoolchildren decreased by 61%.
The level of budget deficit, fixed in the fiscal policy, should not exceed 3% of gross domestic product (GDP).
In 2025, Moldova continued to have a high level of informal employment. According to various estimates, the informal labour market accounts for around 20% of the working population, including those in formal employment who continue to work without a formal employment contract or receive their wages ‘under the table’.
