News about Macroeconomics
In the near future, the world economy risks a crisis comparable to the 2008 recession.
Prices may increase by 10% by the end of the year. This was pointed out by the Minister of Economic Development and Digitalization, Eugeniu Osmochescu. According to him, petrol and diesel will be followed by an inevitable rise in the prices of everyday products and services.
President of Belarus Alexander Lukashenko has offered his Ukrainian counterpart Vladimir Zelensky to meet. The offer was made against the background of Kiev’s warnings that Russia was preparing a new offensive through the Belarusian territory to the Ukrainian capital and Chernihiv Region.
Over the next five years, the balance of power among the world’s largest economies may change significantly. India will make the most impressive leap to the top of the list.
In April 2026, the net demand of economic agents (legal entities) for foreign currency in Moldova was covered by the net supply from individuals by 80.5%. This indicator shows a decrease compared to March, when the level of coverage amounted to 92.0%. The main indicators and tendencies of the foreign exchange market, according to the official reports of the National Bank of Moldova (NBM), were formed under the influence of business activity recovery and servicing of external liabilities.
On Friday, investment bank JPMorgan warned that Turkey’s central bank is likely to raise its key interest rate to 40%. The increase could come before the next scheduled meeting in June, given the current market volatility caused by political factors.
The European Commission said Thursday it has sharply lowered its forecast for Romania’s economic growth in 2026 to 0.1 percent from 1.1 percent projected last fall.
Germany’s economy grew by 0.3% in the first quarter of 2026 thanks to an increase in exports. According to official data, exports grew by 3.3% quarter-on-quarter, while investment fell by 1.5%.
Chisinau will not receive money, but the rigidity of criteria for evaluating economic policy will remain at the level of standard IMF loan agreements. Any violation of the reform schedule will instantly deprive Moldova of the status of a “reliable borrower” before other donors.
End-of-Mission press releases include statements of IMF staff teams that convey preliminary findings after a visit to a country. The views expressed in this statement are those of the IMF staff and do not necessarily represent the views of the IMF’s Executive Board. Based on the preliminary findings of this mission, staff will prepare a report that, subject to management approval, will be presented to the IMF’s Executive Board for discussion and decision.
The government has given a negative opinion on a new legislative initiative to lower the retirement age for mothers with many children. The Cabinet of Ministers considered that since women on average live longer, the measure could lead to additional pressure on the budget.
Finance Minister Andrian Havrilice today made a statement on the outcome of the negotiations on the agreement with the IMF. He specified, without giving details, that the sides agreed on the objectives of reducing the budget deficit and on the measures needed for a sustainable economic growth.
Deputy Prime Minister, Economic Development and Digitalization Minister Eugeniu Osmochescu said that the information that appeared in the press, according to which he allegedly claimed that Moldova needs 300,000 migrants for its economy, does not correspond to reality.
Often the detected irregularities in the management of public resources are not caused by malicious intent, but by the complexity of the legal framework and the procedures to be applied. This opinion was shared by Finance Minister Andrian Gavrilita at the ongoing training events of the State Inspectorate of Financial Control (SIFC), dedicated to combating violations detected during financial audits.
A cryptoblogger under the pseudonym The Smart Ape has published a detailed analysis of the economic consequences of mass AI automation. The starting point was the forecast of Microsoft AI head Mustafa Suleiman, who told the Financial Times back in February: AI will automate most office professions in 12-18 months.
Moldova and the International Monetary Fund (IMF) have reached an agreement on a new cooperation program for the next three years. This was announced by Prime Minister Alexandru Munteanu after the IMF mission in Chisinau.
In April, in annualized terms, producer prices of industrial products increased by 1.1%, according to official statistics, and by 0.4% for the month. This means that the pressure on inflation is mainly exerted by external factors and the service sector, rather than local production.
The area of winter crops for harvest-2026 in Moldova has decreased compared to the corresponding indicator of the previous agricultural season, but grain production may remain at last year’s level.
According to the World Health Organization, the COVID-19 pandemic has killed up to 20 million people. Now WHO is warning again: the world remains vulnerable.
Moldova ranks 95th out of 197 in the Global Reputation Index 2026, positioned between Jamaica and the Marshall Islands.
