News about Macroeconomics
As of the beginning of 2026, servicing Moldova’s domestic public debt costs the budget significantly more than servicing external debt, often amounting to almost double the difference in expenditures.
The National Energy Regulatory Agency (NERA) has set new maximum fuel prices that will be in effect tomorrow, May 8.
The United States Department of Justice has launched an investigation into suspicious bets on oil futures ahead of news of a war with Iran. Traders made such transactions totaling $2.6 billion amid a periodic spike in trading activity in the oil market shortly before important announcements about the situation around Iran.
The increase of the prime rate by the National Bank of Moldova from 5% to 6.5% has caused mixed reactions among MPs. Some consider the measure necessary to curb inflation, while others warn of negative consequences for investment, lending and living standards.
Moldova is becoming increasingly dependent on external financing. At the same time, reform-driven financial instruments are increasingly being replaced by “politicized financing”, with economic criteria taking a back seat. This can be considered the beginning of a dangerous slide for the country.
In 2025, the population of Georgia increased by 10.7 thousand people and reached 3.94 million. The trend is explained by migration: although the natural increase was negative – mortality exceeded birth rate by 6,452 cases – the positive migration balance (17,127 people) overcame this decline
The Executive Committee of the National Bank of Moldova (NBM), at its meeting held on May 7, 2026, unanimously increased the prime rate by 1.5 percentage points at once, in order to prevent the risks of increasing inflationary pressure amid the global price situation.
German Chancellor Friedrich Merz has warned that the country is going through the biggest change in decades. He made the statement at a business forum in Düsseldorf against the backdrop of the economic downturn, the energy crisis and growing global instability.
Moldova ranked 61st in the Freedom Index and 51st in the 2026 Atlas Freedom and Prosperity Around the World (2026 Atlas Freedom and Prosperity Around the World), compiled by the Atlantic Council. In total, there are 164 states on the list.
By the end of the day on May 6, the dollar exchange rate fell to the lowest level since the beginning of the war in the Middle East. The reason was the appearance of information that Washington and Tehran came close to signing a peace agreement.
The independent expertise notes a paradoxical situation: despite the declared reforms, the role of the state in the Moldovan economy remains high and even structurally strengthens in some areas. At the same time, the reform of state-owned enterprises (SOEs) is progressing slowly.
The Belarusian Foreign Ministry protested to Armenia after the statements of Parliament Speaker Alen Simonyan, who accused Russia of attempting to change the power in Armenia and said that the country “will not be governed like Belarus”.
Moldova’s state social insurance budget deficit continues to shrink and, according to forecasts, could fall to about 1.9 billion lei by 2028 from about 3.6 billion lei at present.
Some reforms included in Moldova’s Economic Growth Plan are being implemented late, but the authorities claim that they will be caught up, and the 1.9 billion euro tranches of European financing, albeit late, will still be received.
India will be the main driver of the world economy in the coming years, while the center of global growth is finally shifting to Asia. This is the conclusion of the International Monetary Fund (IMF) in its updated World Economic Outlook.
A mission of the International Monetary Fund (IMF), headed by Alina Iancu, will visit Moldova from May 7 to 20, 2026. The purpose of the visit is to coordinate policies under the new program.
Starting from the third quarter of 2024, Moldova entered an unprecedented zone: food imports exceeded exports.
World central banks in March 2026 reduced total gold reserves by 30 tons. This is stated in the report of the World Gold Council (WGC).
Tensions in the Gulf region and volatility in energy markets may lead to a further downward revision of the GDP forecast. According to Eugeniu Osmokescu, Deputy Prime Minister and Minister of Economic Development and Digitalization, the recent downward revision of the economic growth forecast from 3.3% to 2.2% for this year is not the last.
The Romanian leu weakened to a new historic low against the euro on Monday, according to the National Bank of Romania (NBR).
