News about Macroeconomics
Yesterday, the World Bank Board of Directors approved a Growth and Sustainability Policy Loan (DPL) to Moldova. The credit line is intended to strengthen competitiveness, job creation, market efficiency and transparency, and economic integration with the European Union (EU).
The unemployment rate in the first quarter at the national level amounted to 10.4% against the previously declared 3-4%, calculated according to the ILO methodology. The National Bureau of Statistics (NBS) cited the data, arguing that the new figures are based on the transition of the agency from 2026 to the labor force survey instruments according to the standards of the European Union.
The European Bank for Reconstruction and Development (EBRD) predicts a recession in Romania’s economy in 2026.
The European Bank for Reconstruction and Development (EBRD) has downwardly revised Moldova’s economic growth forecast for 2026 amid risks caused by the war, energy crisis and instability of international markets.
Moldova’s state budget deficit in January-April 2026 was almost half (by 47.9%) higher than in the same period of 2025.
The European Commission warns of the possible loss of hundreds of thousands of jobs in the EU years amid high energy prices, industrial restructuring and the transition to a “green” economy.
About 9% of workers in the European Union are in a situation of forced non-standard employment, when people work on temporary contracts, part-time or short-term assignments due to the lack of opportunity to find a permanent job. This is stated in a study by Eurofound – the European Foundation for the Improvement of Living and Working Conditions.
A recent study on the poverty rate presented by the National Bureau of Statistics (NBS) does not give a clear answer as to whether poverty is increasing or decreasing in Moldova.
About two-thirds of the world’s richest families expect a weakening of confidence in the dollar as the world’s reserve currency and are already reviewing their asset structure amid geopolitical uncertainty and rising U.S. government debt.
The Moldovan government is raising the cost of domestic borrowing. The Ministry of Finance announced the launch of a new subscription round for government securities (GS) for the period from June 2 to June 14, 2026 through the eVMS.md platform. The fixed interest rates for all subscription terms for government securities (GS) for individuals from the May subscription round remain increased from 7.45% to 7.85%, making investments for citizens more attractive and profitable compared to bank deposits.
In the first quarter of 2026, the average monthly wage in Moldova decreased by 2.3% compared to the last quarter of 2025, although in annual terms it continued to grow. The decline is due to the high base effect: bonuses and annual bonuses are traditionally paid at the end of the year, so there is a seasonal decline at the beginning of the following year.
The National Bureau of Statistics (NBS) has published updated data on poverty measurement according to a new methodology, according to which last year’s figures look much better than those presented earlier. Both monetary and non-monetary poverty, according to the NBS, are retreating, but not losing ground in Moldova.
The indicator significantly exceeded the ECB’s target of 2%. The main reason was energy price inflation, which rose by 10.9% year-on-year. The preliminary data paves the way for an ECB interest rate hike at next week’s meeting. Before the conflict in Iran, inflation in the eurozone was below 2%.
The US is discussing the possibility of expanding NATO’s nuclear infrastructure in Europe. The Financial Times reports, citing sources, that Washington is considering the deployment of dual-capable aircraft in additional countries of the alliance.
The combined fortune of the richest Russian businessmen has grown by $21.85 billion since the beginning of 2026,
By 2050, more people will die each year from superbacteria than from cancer. According to Japanese pharmaceutical experts, antibiotic resistance is a “serious threat” to our health and economy.
Moldova needs a comprehensive fiscal reform aimed at broadening the tax base while preserving the scope for increasing public spending, especially on wages and investment. The tax base should be broadened by eliminating numerous tax exemptions, especially those resulting from the differentiated VAT rate, and by combating the informal economy.
Turkey’s economy slowed in the first quarter. The central bank tightened monetary policy to reduce risks associated with the conflict with Iran. The shock caused volatility in the energy market and complicated the Turkish central bank’s efforts to curb inflation. Turkey imports a significant amount of oil and natural gas, making its economy particularly sensitive to changes in global energy prices.
There is a big difference between the need to attract foreign labor and fears about the influx of migrants. This was stated by Moldovan President Maia Sandu in the Jurnal Politic podcast.
The International Monetary Fund has for the first time modeled the impact of artificial intelligence on the global economy by 2030. According to the study, even if economic growth accelerates, the widespread use of AI could lead to a decline in the share of income earned by the population and increase property inequality.
