This forecast is set out in the International Monetary Fund’s (IMF) World Economic Outlook.
According to IMF analysts’ estimates, Moldova’s economy will reach $30.2 billion. By way of comparison, Moldova’s gross domestic product at the end of 2025 stood at around 353.5 billion lei at current market prices, which, at today’s exchange rate, corresponds to $20.6 billion. The IMF therefore believes that Moldova’s economy will grow by a third over the next four years. A rather optimistic forecast!
In the 2030 ranking, the Republic of Moldova is positioned between Madagascar and Gabon. Madagascar ranks 128th with a projected GDP of $30.7 billion, whilst Gabon ranks 130th with $27.6 billion.
The US and China will dominate
On a global scale, the United States is expected to retain its leading position, with a projected GDP of $37.7 trillion by 2030. China is expected to take second place with a GDP of around $26 trillion.
Germany and India will compete for third place. Germany’s economy is estimated at $6.178 trillion, whilst India’s is expected to reach $6.173 trillion.
The world’s ten largest economies also include the UK, Japan, France, Brazil, Italy and Russia.
At the other end of the list are mainly island nations and small economies. Micronesia is expected to come last with a GDP of around $600 million, followed by Tonga, Dominica, Saint Kitts and Nevis, Saint Vincent and the Grenadines, Samoa, São Tomé and Príncipe, Vanuatu, Grenada and the Comoros.
Our neighbours
Romania is estimated to rank 37th in the world with a nominal GDP of around $613.8 billion.
Ukraine will rank 57th, with a GDP of $274.5 billion.
Under these conditions, by 2030 Romania’s economy will be more than 20 times larger than Moldova’s. Ukraine’s GDP will be approximately nine times larger than Moldova’s.
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