According to Prime Minister Vasile Tofan, the licensing system is intended to protect Moldovan grain producers and exporters at a time when the agricultural sector is facing economic risks, regional conflict, and logistical disruptions.
At the same time, the authorities acknowledge that the measure may also have negative consequences.
“When we introduce licensing, we are trying to protect Moldovan grain producers and exporters. But this protection comes at a price: raw materials may become more expensive for the milling, baking, and livestock sectors, as well as for oil production,” said Vasile Tofan.
He warns that if these industries lose their competitiveness, Moldova may start importing more flour, meat, milk, or oil instead of producing them domestically.
…But there is good news, too
At the same time, the prime minister says there are reasons for farmers to be optimistic. Initial data on this year’s harvest looks promising. In particular, rapeseed yields—which are harvested earlier than other crops—have been high in many regions, and prices are higher than last year’s.
Another factor that could support grain prices is the situation on the European market. According to estimates, the corn harvest in Europe could be nearly 20% below the five-year average. This could lead to a reduction in supply on the regional market and support prices.
The specific licensing mechanism will be discussed at the next government meeting. A similar regime was in place in 2024–2025, and, according to the authorities, it had a positive impact on domestic grain producers.
“This is a temporary measure that will remain in effect until October 31; it was adopted under exceptional circumstances. At the same time, we must work on what matters in the long term: reducing logistics costs, improving market access, developing storage and processing capacity, facilitating access to financing, and enhancing the competitiveness of agriculture. Protecting farmers is important. But it is equally important not to inadvertently weaken other sectors of the economy that depend on grain,” the prime minister noted.
Earlier, Logos Press reported that “Forța Fermierilor” had effectively issued an ultimatum to the government: make progress on issues related to transit controls and import licensing for Ukrainian grain, or the organization reserves the right to organize mass protests.
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