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World Bank: Ukraine’s GDP in 2027 – 1.5 per cent growth

The World Bank has more than halved its forecast for Ukraine’s economic growth in 2027, from 4 per cent to 1.5 per cent. Active hostilities and the uncertain outlook for external financing are now factored into the country’s GDP forecast for the whole of next year.  
Vadim Chetrari Vadim Chetrari Reading time: 1 minute
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This is reported by ‘Interfax-Ukraine’, citing the World Bank’s updated economic outlook published yesterday.

In its April forecast, the Bank had anticipated an end to active hostilities by the end of 2026. The revision of this scenario has led to a 2.5 per cent downward revision in the growth forecast.

In 2026, the World Bank expects Ukraine’s real GDP to grow by 1.2 per cent, compared with 1.8 per cent last year. In 2028, the economy is estimated to grow by 3 per cent.

The Bank cites external financing for 2027 as the main source of uncertainty. Ukraine’s substantial funding requirements have not yet been fully met, and negotiations with international partners are ongoing. Delays in implementing agreed reforms could further slow the flow of aid and increase the funding gap, warn World Bank analysts.

This story was translated with the assistance of artificial intelligence.The translation was also reviewed by the Logos Press editorial team.


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