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The USDA has acknowledged the error. How much did it cost American farmers?

The US Department of Agriculture (USDA) has identified a calculation error that affected the September estimates for maize yields and production in 2026.
Vadim Chetrari Vadim Chetrari Reading time: 2 minutes
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The error affected data for ten states to varying degrees, with the ‘Corn Belt’ states – Kansas and Nebraska – being the most significantly impacted. Consequently, it also affected the national yield estimate. According to revised data from the US National Agricultural Statistics Service (NASS), the national yield estimate for September has been raised from 178.5 to 178.8 bushels per acre. NASS explained that the error arose from an incorrect assessment of data on irrigated and non-irrigated areas. The USDA noted that this month’s forecasts, published on 9 October, had been reviewed and remained unchanged, according to Farm Policy News.

The correction to the data drew criticism from American farmers, for whom the accuracy of forecasts is of great importance when making market decisions. The National Corn Growers Association (NCGA) stated that the USDA’s incorrect data had cost American farmers billions of dollars in market value.

This story was translated with the assistance of artificial intelligence.The translation was also reviewed by the Logos Press editorial team.


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