According to estimates by the analytics firm Sparks Polska, Poland’s corn harvest in 2026 will total 8.7–9 million metric tons, which is nearly on par with last year’s figure (8.9 million metric tons). “So far, the overall condition of corn crops in Poland is not bad,” Reuters quotes the company’s analyst, Wojtek Sabaranski, as saying. According to him, timely rainfall in July improved crop conditions in the northern and central regions of the country, and the forecasted rains could also benefit the southern regions, where moisture levels were lower.
At the same time, in France, due to a prolonged heat wave and drought, the corn harvest could nearly halve—to less than 7 million metric tons—which would be the lowest figure since 1976. In Germany, production is also expected to be lower—4.24 million metric tons, or 14% less than last year.
According to analysts’ estimates, Romania may also partially offset the decline in EU corn production thanks to better yield prospects following heavy rains. At the same time, due to smaller planted areas, its production is forecast at around 8 million metric tons.
In late July, the European Commission lowered its forecast for the EU corn harvest in the 2026/27 season to 51.9 million metric tons—the lowest level since 2007. At the same time, some analysts already expect production to fall below 50 million metric tons, which would be the lowest level since the 1990s.
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