According to the October issue of the ‘World Economic Outlook’ report published on Tuesday, this international lender forecasts that Moldova’s gross domestic product (GDP) growth will accelerate to 2.3 per cent in 2027.
Average consumer price inflation is expected to slow to 7.4 per cent in 2026 (from 7.8 per cent in 2025) and then rise to 9 per cent in 2027.
As reported last week by Moldova’s National Bureau of Statistics (NBS), inflation in the country accelerated to 8.6 per cent in September from 6.96 per cent in August, driven by a sharp rise in service prices, particularly natural gas tariffs.
Moldova’s current account deficit is forecast to increase to 22 per cent of GDP in 2026 (from 19.7 per cent in 2025) and to continue rising, reaching 22.8 per cent in 2027.
The unemployment rate is expected to remain unchanged at 6.8 per cent in 2026, before falling to 3.6 per cent in 2027. According to data from the National Bank of Moldova (NBM), in the second quarter of 2026 the unemployment rate in Moldova fell to 7.3 per cent from 10.4 per cent in the first quarter.
The IMF expects economic growth in the ‘Emerging Market and Developing Europe’ region (which includes Moldova, Romania, Serbia, Bosnia and Herzegovina, Albania, Kosovo and Montenegro) will slow to 1.7 per cent in 2026 from 2 per cent last year. Thereafter, the region’s GDP growth is forecast to accelerate to 2.1 per cent in 2026.
In May, the IMF reached a staff-level agreement with the Moldovan authorities on a new 36-month programme under the Policy Coordination Instrument (PCI) to support reforms in the country.
This story was translated with the assistance of artificial intelligence.The translation was also reviewed by the Logos Press editorial team.
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