Elon Musk: Artificial Intelligence Is Improving Exponentially

Elon Musk: artificial intelligence is developing exponentially

Elon Musk agrees that the pace of development in artificial intelligence is so rapid that, within a few months, state-of-the-art models find themselves playing catch-up. The entrepreneur’s comment came in response to a post claiming that, within ten months, several open-source AI models had managed to outperform systems that, according to the author of the post, were expected to be state-of-the-art by the end of 2025.

Elon Musk

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“Intelligence is improving exponentially,” Musk wrote on 21 September on the social media platform X, commenting on a post by user Ahmad.

The original post claims that the GLM 5.3 Flash, DeepSeek V4.1 Flash, Qwen 3.8 Next Flash and Qwen 3.8 27B models already surpass, in terms of intelligence and capabilities, all models that were classified as ‘frontier intelligence’ by Christmas 2025. The author also notes the rapid progress of open-source models.

Open-source models are narrowing the technology gap

The comparisons presented in the publication have not yet been confirmed by independent tests. However, Elon Musk’s agreement with the author’s assertions and his comment on the exponential pace of AI development underscore that we are talking about a significant reduction in the time it takes for older models to be replaced by more advanced ones.

The author of the post points out that the anticipated transition from the level of state-of-the-art models at the end of 2025 to comparable or higher performance levels took around ten months.

This discussion is significant in that the trend towards the accelerated development of open models is itself becoming a key factor in the AI market. The availability of models to third-party developers allows them to adapt these models more quickly to various tasks, create derivative solutions and compete not only with the largest technology companies.

Musk’s comment is also noteworthy because the entrepreneur himself is a participant in the AI market through xAI and the development of the Grok model. His assessment in this case relates to a broader technological trend, rather than just his own products.

Essentially, Musk’s brief post boils down to a single point: the pace of AI advancement remains high, and the gap between new open-source models and systems that were until recently considered state-of-the-art may be narrowing significantly faster than the traditional technology cycle.

This story was translated with the assistance of artificial intelligence.The translation was also reviewed by the Logos Press editorial team.

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