The European pork market continues to face pressure. Prices for slaughter pigs are falling due to weakening export demand, particularly following China’s imposition of import duties, as well as the consequences of the African swine fever (ASF) outbreak in Spain in late 2025. Trade restrictions have led to a surplus of pork on the EU’s domestic market, which has negatively impacted producers’ profitability.
Global demand for pork is also expected to grow moderately. In China, which remains the largest consumer, consumption levels are not expected to change significantly. At the same time, demand continues to rise in emerging markets, particularly in Mexico—by 4.6%—and in Vietnam—by 3%. In EU countries, by contrast, consumption is expected to decline slightly.
Global pork trade is forecast to see a further recovery in 2026. The United States stands to benefit the most; thanks to strong demand from Mexico and reduced export capacity among its European competitors, it has a good chance of strengthening its position as the world’s largest pork exporter.
At the same time, exports from EU countries are likely to remain lower due to trade restrictions related to the fight against African swine fever. Mexico, for its part, will continue to solidify its status as one of the world’s largest pork importers, sustaining high demand in the international market, according to ukragroconsult, citing Meatinfo.
