This is stated in the analysis of Gremi Personal. According to analysts, the industrial sector makes the greatest contribution to the negative dynamics.
Back in winter, employers announced their intentions to dismiss 50% more employees than in the same period last year. The total number of unfinished dismissal procedures for that period exceeded 18 thousand. It is primarily about large companies. According to analysts’ estimates, only among public cases, at least a dozen well-known companies are planning to cut 4-4.5 thousand employees. This is a broad trend, which is confirmed by official statistics.
An additional signal of the worsening situation was the growth in the number of dismissals initiated by employers for various reasons (bankruptcy, liquidation, job cuts, group and individual dismissals). In February, their number increased by 11.9% year-on-year to 41 thousand people.
Unemployment is also on the rise in Poland
Its level reached 6.1%, and the number of registered unemployed – almost 955 thousand. At the same time, the number of vacancies in state employment centers decreased by 67% – to 21.7 thousand, indicating a decline in demand for labor.
Industry remains the key factor in the deterioration of the situation. In the processing industry employment decreased by 1.4% year-on-year – by about 34 thousand people. The largest losses were recorded in the following industries: auto industry (-3.4%), furniture industry (-3.1%), machine building and production of metal products (-1.2% each).
“These processes correlate with the dynamics of industrial production. In January-February, actual stagnation of sales was recorded, and in some segments – decline: metal products (-3.7%), electrical products (-3%), cars and components (-1.4%), furniture (-2.7%). Additional pressure is created by the external environment. In February, new industrial orders under export contracts decreased by 3% year-on-year, while in January exports decreased by 4.6%,” explained Eugene Kirichenko, founder of Gremi Personal.
At the same time, the labor market remains heterogeneous. Certain sectors demonstrate employment growth – in particular, food industry, electronics, logistics and services. Foreign labor plays a significant role in these segments: its number has increased, including among Ukrainians.
Thus, experts say, the Polish labor market is entering a phase of structural changes: the general increase in the number of layoffs and reduction in employment is combined with point demand in sectors oriented towards the domestic market and government orders. At the same time, it is industry that determines the main risks for further employment dynamics.
