At the same time, the statistical office also revised the published results for the previous quarters as follows:
- for the 1st quarter of 2025 compared to the 4th quarter of 2024 were revised from 99.5% to 99.8%;
- for Q2 2025 compared to Q1 2025 were revised from 101.0% to 100.7%;
- for the 3rd quarter of 2025 compared to the 2nd quarter of 2025, from 99.9% to 100.0%;
- for the 4th quarter of 2025 compared to the 3rd quarter of 2025 were revised from 98.2% to 98.0%;
RoEM (Romanian Economic Monitor) economists, together with scientists from Babes-Bolyai State University from Cluj-Napoca, forecast that the whole year will be recessionary, notes HotNews.
“Amid a combination of global crises and domestic political instability, the Romanian economy risks entering a moderate recession this year, according to RoEM-UBB FSEGA experts, who forecast a 0.5% decline in GDP. However, RoEM economists believe that there are prerequisites for a gradual economic recovery: the possible stabilization of the political situation may contribute to the resumption of economic growth,” the publication quotes the experts’ analysis.
HotNews recalls that in the fourth quarter of 2025, the Romanian economy recorded a recession: GDP fell by 1.9% compared to the third quarter of 2025 (seasonally adjusted) and by 1.6% compared to the same quarter of 2024.
For the whole year 2025, the economy grew by only 0.7% compared to 2024, reaching approximately 1,916 billion lei.
