IMF: India and Asia to drive global economic growth
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India and Asia will set the pace: IMF names global economic growth leaders

India will be the main driver of the world economy in the coming years, while the center of global growth is finally shifting to Asia. This is the conclusion of the International Monetary Fund (IMF) in its updated World Economic Outlook.
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IMF

The fund estimates that the Indian economy will grow at about 6.5 percent annually between 2026 and 2028, the fastest of all major economies. Growth is supported by domestic demand, investment and ongoing reforms, Reuters reported.

Following India, China remains a key source of growth. Despite the slowdown, its economy will add about 4.4-4.5% in 2026, maintaining a significant influence on global dynamics.

Against this backdrop, the US is showing more moderate but steady growth of around 2-2.4%. The economy is supported by investments in technology and the development of artificial intelligence.

Overall, according to the IMF, the global economy will continue to grow, but without acceleration: in 2026, global GDP will increase by about 3.1-3.3%, which is below the pre-pandemic rates.

Experts emphasize: the main burden of growth will fall on developing countries. Their aggregate economy will grow faster than developed economies – by about 3.9-4.2% in 2026. Asia remains the leader, with rates approaching 5%.

At the same time, the situation in some regions is less favorable. In the Middle East and Central Asia, growth may slow to around 1.9%, while some economies face downside risks from external shocks and price volatility.

The IMF notes that the global outlook remains vulnerable to geopolitics and trade restrictions. At the same time, the growth of investment in technology, including artificial intelligence, is becoming a new supportive factor. It partially compensates for external pressures.



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