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Economic stagnation continues. Even the 5.2% GDP growth in the third quarter, thanks to a successful agricultural year, cannot refute this thesis. Even if the economy returns to positive territory by the end of 2025 (+2% GDP for the first three quarters), this acceleration will not allow for a full recovery from the 2022 downturn. Experts speak of a “technical recession” and “recovery growth,” noting the limited potential of the current development model, based on consumption and dependent on the vagaries of the weather, including political weather.
Moldova harmonizes standards in the field of construction products realization with the EU Regulation. In this regard, the Ministry of Infrastructure and Regional Development has developed and submitted for public discussion a draft of a new Technical Regulation and a document on the abolition of the current provisions in this field.
The state recognizes existing economic inequalities and is taking steps to mitigate them. However, the transition to a more predictable economy requires an end to the war.
There are seemingly contradictory trends. In 2024, the absolute (monetary) poverty rate in Moldova increased by 2 p.p. compared to 2023 and amounted to 34%. In other words, one third of the Moldovan population lived on less than 3493 lei (€181) per month per person. At the same time, the share of the population living in multidimensional poverty decreased by 1 p.p. and amounted to 26%. This means that about a quarter of the population suffers from insufficient access to such benefits of civilization as health care, education, quality housing and decent jobs.
Income inequality is growing in Moldova: the top 20% of the population in 2024 received almost 42% of total income. The share of the poorest 20% remains almost unchanged. Experts believe that reducing the gap will require not only increasing minimum wages and pensions, but also, in the medium term, implementing elements of progressive taxation and social reforms.
This year, the topic of the well-being of the country and its citizens is particularly acute. Moreover, in different aspects – from the multidirectional arguments of politicians to the country’s ratings that pop up from time to time. It has also become central for the expert community: the annual conference MACRO-2025, organized by the independent analytical center “Expert-Grup”, focused on the issues of reducing income inequality and economic divergence of the country on the way to Europe.
The sharp jump in chicken egg prices in Moldova is due to the fact that most EU countries have registered large-scale outbreaks of avian flu, which led to a reduction in production and an increase in egg prices.
A parliamentary initiative to abolish legal provisions restricting the use of cash when buying real estate has been recorded in parliament. The provisions are contained in a draft law registered by the faction of the Alternative bloc. The document is aimed at removing barriers to cash payments when buying real estate.
Under the slogan “the whole economy should work for European integration”, the authorities are trying to use all internal and external resources. Mostly credit resources. And in all possible and impossible ways. But they are still catastrophically lacking. The government and the National Bank are now acting remarkably well, stimulating sources of replenishment of funds, trumpeting successes and keeping silent about failures. It is not always possible, of course, to present it under the sauce of “for the benefit of the Moldovan economy”.
The new government’s program sets an ambitious goal of supporting the employment of at least 100,000 people over the next four years.
The total project budget is $59.8 million. The project is financed by a loan from the International Bank for Reconstruction and Development (IBRD) and two grants ratified by Parliament in 2023. The project implementation period is from October 2023 to December 2029. Its main objective is to strengthen the educational infrastructure and improve the quality of the teaching and learning process.
The state has not learned to spend even other people’s money on the development of the country. Foreign aid is spent mainly on salaries and pensions and other current expenditures. In other words, it is eaten up. It is not always possible to “digest” the money for capital investments. The Accounts Chamber gives figures and reasons for such “indigestion”.
In October, the government extended the National Program for the Development of the Public Procurement System for the next two years. The pace of change impresses neither the executive branch itself, which has been trying to become more active recently, nor the experts, who see a whole pile of unresolved problems.
Progress in convergence with the EU legislation on the chapter “Free movement of capital” is visible to the naked eye. Liberalization of currency regulation has been underway for a number of years. Now it has entered a decisive stage. Anca Dragu, the governor of the NBM, admits that her experience will allow the National Bank to play a leading role in the negotiations with the EU on this issue. The thirst for investments, however, does not guarantee their arrival. The free movement of capital brings with it, according to experts, many other …
The National Bank summarized the performance of the insurance market participants in the first half of the year, noting the improvement of the sector’s financial reliability, despite the decline in profitability.
The postponed for the post-election period presentation of statistical indicators of the state of the economy in the first half of the year took place this week. Quietly and without scandals. This time – from the mouth of the re-elected for a second term director general of the statistical office Oleg Kara. And, it is necessary to tell, “to blow on water” was in vain – on moods of voters it would not affect. As now it does not affect the mood of responsible persons – the Minister of Economy and Digitalization Doina Nistor called the results “encouraging” and expressed hope for “restorative growth at the end of the year”.
“The grant will allow us to modernize processes at the enterprise, lay the foundation for a modern, sustainable infrastructure adapted to market requirements. We expect a significant effect through the creation of new jobs and the processing of fruit from our orchard,” said one of the grant recipients, Natalia Dumbrava, administrator of “FructeDorSucces” Ltd. from the village of Catranik, Falesti district, an enterprise that processes and preserves fruit.
The National Bureau of Statistics (NBS) canceled the timely dissemination of GDP and labor market data for the second quarter of 2025, explaining the postponement of the publication date by “technical reasons”. The expert community did not believe and was indignant at the restriction of access to important information on the eve of parliamentary elections.
Moldova Business Week announced the creation of a new stock exchange in Chisinau in partnership with the Bucharest Stock Exchange and a group of large investors from Moldova. Most experts believe this could be a chance for the Moldovan capital market.
International rating agency Fitch Ratings in early September affirmed Moldova’s credit rating at B+ with a stable outlook. Despite its stability, it includes many aggravating circumstances of the future “credit history” of the country, for which development partners are responsible with their money. But the debts are still to be paid back to the country.
