Grain prices rise in Moldova, but market trend remains uncertain
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Grain prices in Moldova have risen, but the trend is not yet sustainable

The first week of March on the grain market of Moldova also brought increase of prices for wheat (plus 0,15-0,20 lei/kg) and corn (plus 0,10 lei/kg on average). The strengthening of prices corresponds to the dynamics of exchange prices for goods of this group in Europe, as well as in the European ports of the Black Sea countries. However, according to market operators, at the moment, the biggest influence on prices is the rise in the price of diesel fuel, i.e. transportation logistics, and a significant strengthening of the dollar against the euro and Moldovan leu.
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cereal crops

Wheat

On the Moldovan domestic market in the Giurgiulesti port area, feed wheat is purchased at the price of 3.50 lei/kg, while the price for food wheat reaches 3.60 lei/kg. In the north and center of the country, “demand prices” still remain in the range of 3.2-3.35 lei/kg.

In the port of Constanta, the price for flour-quality wheat (protein content – 12% and above) averages 190 EUR/t, for feed wheat – about 185 EUR/t (DAF).

However, despite the positive dynamics, the mood of market participants remains cautious. Many of them are not sure that the price growth is for a long time, and the resumption of the downtrend in the short term is considered possible. At least, because there are still significant volumes of wheat in the Black Sea region in the warehouses of both traders and agricultural producers. If export flows do not accelerate or if trade routes continue to be hampered by high logistics costs, the regional surplus will again put pressure on prices in grain-producing countries.

Corn

On the domestic market of the Republic of Moldova, corn (normal moisture) is purchased in the north and center of the country at 3.30-3.45 lei/kg, in the south the price reaches 3.70-3.75 lei/kg.

Of certain interest is the fact that on the Moldovan market (as well as in some regions of neighboring Ukraine) demand and prices for corn are higher than for food wheat. Such a situation rarely occurs. By the way, at the European exchange Euronext by the end of the week futures quotations for wheat were 2-3 euro/t higher than for corn.

At the same time, however, there are also factors that may put downward pressure on prices. First, regional corn supply is increasing and trade flows are heavily influenced by geopolitical tensions in the Middle East. Demand in this region is currently much lower than usual, as bombings and very difficult logistics in the Gulf region limit maritime transportation.

For Moldova, this situation has direct consequences. Between July 2025 and January 2026, one of the most important buyers of Moldovan corn was Lebanon (fourth place in the ranking of export destinations). Significant volumes also went to Cyprus, which has also become a turbulent place. The volumes of goods, initially planned for shipment to these destinations, may be reoriented to other markets, in particular – to the Mediterranean region. And this may lead to a temporary oversupply of goods and lower prices.



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