According to the World Bank’s World Economic Outlook report, Moldova’s GDP is projected to grow by 2.7% in 2026 and by 3.8% in 2027. At the same time, the forecast for 2027 was slightly downgraded (-0.6 p.p.) compared to the previous assessment.
Such countries as Kyrgyzstan (9.2%), Tajikistan (8%), Georgia (7%), Kazakhstan (6%), Armenia (5.2%) are considerably ahead of Moldova in terms of growth rate forecasts in 2025.
At the same time, Moldova’s economic growth is ahead of forecasts for Ukraine (2%), Belarus (1.9%), Russia (0.9%) and Romania (0.8%).
According to the WB report, growth in the Europe and Central Asia region in 2026 is expected to be sustained by domestic demand, lower inflation and EU investment. However, risks remain, with geopolitical instability, weak external demand, inflationary pressures, tight financial conditions and climate shocks among the key ones. The potential to accelerate growth is linked to war de-escalation, integration and productivity gains from AI.
Overall, the WB expects the global economy to grow by 2.6% in 2026 and 2.7% in 2027.
“The global economy is showing greater resilience than expected despite persistent trade tensions and economic policy uncertainty,” the WB report said.
Recall that in January-September 2025, compared to the same period in 2024, Moldova’s GDP grew by 2% in real terms, while for the whole of 2024 – by 0.1%.
