“This modeling tool allows us to forecast different energy scenarios by combining national data with climate change impacts. This will help us to improve energy policy development in line with Moldova’s long-term energy goals included in the National Integrated Energy and Climate Plan,” said Sviatoslav Mihalake, Head of the Department of Consumer Capability Enhancement, Analysis, Modeling, Forecasting, Innovation and Cybersecurity at the Ministry of Energy.
According to him, the new forecasting tool is the first in Moldova to include climate change impact analysis based on high-resolution climate forecasts provided by the OSCE. This will allow forecasters to analyze the long-term impact of climate change on the national energy system, including changes in demand caused by rising temperatures and the potential impact on renewable energy production in the context of changing climatic conditions.
During the workshop, participants used an open source platform for energy system modeling and learned how the platform can be applied to analysis, strategic planning, and public policy development. The workshop participants were introduced to different methods for developing realistic long-term energy scenarios, methods for integrating climate data, and how to develop socio-economic and technological strategies to address Moldova’s long-term energy challenges.
The Ministry of Energy emphasized that Moldova aims to diversify its energy sources and decarbonize its energy system in order to create a low-carbon, climate-resilient system that meets the country’s energy security priorities for the coming decades.
The modeling tool, its development process and the training workshop were implemented under the OSCE extrabudgetary project “Reducing Climate Change Threats to the Energy Sector in the OSCE Region”.
