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In the Middle Ages, usually only the court jester dared to tell the king an inconvenient truth. In the United States, under the ersatz court of President Donald Trump, who longs to be a monarch, the bond market has taken over that role.

It seems that the global economic situation will get worse – probably much worse – before there is any improvement.

For at least a while, the U.S. has abdicated its role as the leader of the global clean energy transition. U.S. President Donald Trump has not only reversed the clean energy goals set by his predecessor, but also refuses to recognize the serious health, economic and security risks posed by climate change even to Americans, let alone traditional U.S. allies and partners in the world. The Trump administration has chosen to focus on revitalizing the coal industry and increasing oil and gas exports in an attempt to achieve “energy dominance” over friends and foes alike.

The EU executive is now considering contingency plans in case a new agreement with Ukraine is not concluded before the current tariff-free scheme expires in less than a month.

To call the current global economic climate “uncertain” is a vast understatement of the confusion that has prevailed in recent months, especially after U.S. President Donald Trump imposed “release day” duties in early April. He suspended them almost immediately as the capital markets (especially the US bond market) erupted into chaos. But no one, except perhaps a few administration insiders, knows whether Trump will resume the duties this summer (they are suspended for 90 days while affected countries try to negotiate new bilateral trade agreements with the US), or whether he will replace them with agreements with trading partners. Still, we can predict a number of consequences of Trump’s policies for the U.S. and global economy.

The tariff war launched by U.S. President Donald Trump is in full swing, and investors around the world are wondering: what will be the next item in his plan to overthrow the global economic order? The attention of many is focused on the so-called “Mar-a-Lago Agreement”. This is a plan proposed by Stephen Miran, chairman of Trump’s Council of Economic Advisers, to coordinate with America’s trading partners to weaken the dollar.

To paraphrase a common saying, let us say the following: it is not ignorance that is ruinous, but false confidence in one’s knowledge. This false confidence explains Trump’s short-sighted decisions that have thrown the world economy into chaos. Among the likely victims will be the supreme status of the dollar.

On May 2, the Federal Office for the Protection of the German Constitution ruled to classify the Alternative for Germany party (AdG for short) as far-right and extremist. In response, U.S. Secretary of State Marco Rubio spoke in defense of the AdG, condemning the decision as an act of “disguised tyranny.”

“This relationship is too valuable to allow it to be destroyed,” the CEO of the American Chamber of Commerce addresses the EU. US President Donald Trump’s tariffs have been postponed for 90 days, but the deadline is about to expire – can Europe and the US come to an agreement?

Donald Trump is rapidly turning the US into the largest tax offshore in world history. Just look at this: the Treasury Department has been instructed to withdraw from the information transparency regime that helps reveal the identity of the real owners of companies; the U.S. administration has withdrawn from the UN Framework Convention on International Tax Cooperation negotiations; it has stopped requiring compliance with the Foreign Corrupt Practices Act; and is pursuing a massive deregulation of cryptocurrencies.

Every Easter, Christians remember how at the Last Supper, on the eve of Jesus’ crucifixion, it seemed that hope was lost. Most of Jesus’ closest friends were about to disown and abandon him. All that lay ahead was torture and a horrible death. But in this moment of despair, Jesus made himself a gift to all, he gave bread to his disciples and said: “This is my body, given for you.” This act of hope culminated on Easter morning when life triumphed over death, love over hate, and divine giving over human greed.

The US-led world order as we knew it is gone. As the tectonic plates of geopolitics move beneath us, Europe faces the challenge of preserving its institutions and preventing the world from returning to an era where the strongest man is right, amid the concentration of power by authoritarian leaders in Washington, Moscow and Beijing.
